The Triad - Fragile, Robust, Anti-fragile by NNT

Positive Black Swans by jurvetson

블랙스완에 등장하는 Dr. John, Nero Tulip, 그리고 Fat Tony 에 빗대어 

Fragile, Robust, Anti-fragile 의 속성을 설명하고 있다.

불확실한 세상에서 좀 더 살아남기 위해 우리에게 필요한 것은 무엇인지

아래 도표의 키워드를 통해 힌트를 얻어보자

적당히 의심할 것!

가능하면 중복을 좋아하고

더하는 것보다는 빼는 것에 

그리고 큰 것보다는 작게 

- Functional redundancy

- Subtractive treatment (remove items from something, etc.)

- Skeptical, subtractive empiricism

- Acts of omission 

- Small but not specialized

The Triad

	FRAGILE	ROBUST	ANTI-FRAGILE
Life	Dr John	Nero Tulip	Fat Tony
Mathematics	Concave	Linear	Convex
Biological & Economic Systems	Efficiency	Redundancy	Degeneracy (functional redundancy)
Science/Technology	Directed Research	Opportunistic research	Aggressive Tinkering (convex bricolage)
Political Systems	Nation-State; Centralized		City-State; Decentralized
Knowledge	Episteme	Techne
Knowledge	Academia	Erudition
Thinkers	Plato, Aristotle, Averroes	Menodotus, Popper, Hayek, Nietzsche, Wittgenstein	NOBODY
Ethics (Aristotelian)	The weak	The strong	The Magnificent
Decision Making	Model-based decision making	Heuristic-based decision making	Convex heuristics
Reputation (profession)	Academic, Corporate executive, Pope, Bishop, Politician	Postal employee, Truck driver, train conductor	Artist, Writer
Medicine	Additive treatment (give medication)		Subtractive treatment (remove items from consumption, say carbs, etc.)
Reputation (class)	Middle Class	Minimum wage persons	Aristocracy, old money
Philosophy/Science	Rationalism	Empiricism	Skeptical, subtractive empiricism
Finance	Short Option		Long Option
Knowledge	Positive Science	Negative Science	Art
Mythology	Damocles		Hydra
Decision Making	Acts of commission		Acts of omission
Literature	E-Reader	Book	Oral Tradition
Business	Industry	Small Business	Artisan
Food	Food Companies		Restaurants
Finance	Debt	Equity	Venture Capital
Finance	Public Debt	Private debt with no bailout
General	Large	Small but specialized	Small but not specialized
General	Monomodal		Barbell
Finance	Banks	Hedge Funds (some)	Hedge Funds (some)
Business	Agency Problem		Principal Operated

도표 출처 : http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/notebook.htm

블랙 스완 국내도서 저자 : 나심 니콜라스 탈레브(Nassim Nicholas Taleb) / 차익종역 출판 : 동녘사이언스 2008.10.24 상세보기